DORGAN, BYRON L
D Β· senate Β· bioguide D000432
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- FEC candidate id
S2ND00040- Internal id
c879357c-0645-486f-b38e-776f4f6b449b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), North Dakota. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 784,841 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $76,657 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,389 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 2.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.457 |
| Race | White alone | 83.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.7% |
| Household | Family households | 57.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.28 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $249,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $954 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $383 | $55,034 | $74,836 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $290 | $45,251 | $129,484 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $432 | $75,514 | $174,442 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $1,839 | $1,112,006 | $249,520 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $3,516,423 | $3,654,008 | $1,359,686 | $0 | $1,886,459 |
| 2008 | $1,170,683 | $387,179 | $1,497,273 | $0 | $484,481 |
| 2006 | $270,346 | $385,238 | $713,766 | $0 | $82,092 |
| 2004 | $2,942,294 | $2,676,756 | $828,657 | $0 | $1,418,964 |
| 2002 | $708,715 | $264,352 | $563,120 | $0 | $282,103 |
| 2000 | $78,676 | $173,851 | $118,757 | $0 | $17,485 |
| 1998 | $1,857,163 | $1,681,842 | $213,934 | $0 | $704,192 |
| 1996 | $32,483 | $66,559 | $38,615 | $100 | $21,523 |
| 1994 | $35,140 | $70,102 | $72,691 | $0 | $13,538 |
| 1992 | $1,061,651 | $1,191,005 | $107,654 | $0 | $213,482 |
Elections
- 1992 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 1992 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 1992 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 2004 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 2004 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· ND-S β won
Committees
- BETTER GOVERNMENT PAC β principal Β· type N
- DAKOTA FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- DORGAN VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- NORTH DAKOTA 2004 β joint_fundraising Β· type X
- NORTH DAKOTA-OREGON VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- TEAM NORTH DAKOTA β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (6)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | DORGAN VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NORTH DAKOTA-OREGON VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NORTH DAKOTA 2004 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEAM NORTH DAKOTA | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | DAKOTA LEADERSHIP FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE FOR BETTER GOVERNMENT | β | candidate_committees |