LAMB, CONOR
D · senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2PA00562- Internal id
a492a8de-46b8-40f7-83fa-b339b0fab1ea- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Pennsylvania. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 13,018,639 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,971 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,355 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.474 |
| Race | White alone | 74.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.3% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $254,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,209 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $39,385 | $44,195 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $6,353,020 | $7,182,030 | $4,810 | $3,000 | $6,066,716 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
- 2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
- 2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
- 2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
- 2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
- 2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
Committees
- CONOR LAMB FOR SENATE — principal · type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $2,040,400 | $0 | 13 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | PENN PROGRESS, INC. | support | $12,863 | Video Production (Estimated) |
| — | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS… | support | $1,083 | Shirts Supporting Conor Lamb for US Senate |
| — | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS… | support | $7,938 | Shirts Supporting Conor Lamb for US Senate |
| — | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS… | support | $3,397 | Independent Expenditure for Conor Lamb US Senate Door Stick… |
| — | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS… | support | $7,990 | Sample Ballots, Polling Signs and Bullet Cards supporting C… |
| 2022-05-03 | VOTEVETS.ORG ACTION FUND | support | $50,000 | Digital Advertising Buy |
| 2022-04-19 | VOTEVETS.ORG ACTION FUND | support | $190,000 | Digital Advertising Buy |
| 2022-04-19 | VOTEVETS.ORG ACTION FUND | support | $6,885 | Digital Advertising Production |
| 2022-04-18 | PENN PROGRESS, INC. | support | $80,000 | Digital Advertising (Estimated) |
| 2022-04-18 | PENN PROGRESS, INC. | support | $621,200 | TV Ad Buy (Estimated) |
| 2022-04-06 | PENN PROGRESS, INC. | support | $60,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-04-05 | PENN PROGRESS, INC. | support | $166,355 | Ad Buy and Production (Estimated) |
| 2022-03-29 | PENN PROGRESS, INC. | support | $832,688 | Ad Buy and Production (Estimated) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (79)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | CONOR LAMB FOR SENATE | — | candidate_committees |