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OZ, MEHMET DR

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S2PA00638
Internal id
8995599a-d02a-4792-92d7-4ddb34614f88
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Pennsylvania. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation13,018,639
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$77,971
IncomePer-capita income$44,355
IncomeIn poverty11.7%
IncomeUnemployed5.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.474
RaceWhite alone74.5%
RaceBlack alone10.7%
RaceAsian alone3.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino8.7%
RaceTwo or more races7.1%
OriginForeign-born7.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home87.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home5.6%
EducationHigh school or higher68.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.2%
EducationAdvanced degree14.3%
HouseholdFamily households62.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.39
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.6%
HousingMedian home value$254,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,209
HousingSingle-family detached56.6%
HousingBuilt before 19407.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units9.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.1%
HealthWith a disability14.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.9%
CommuteDrove alone68.2%
CommutePublic transit3.6%
CommuteWorked from home15.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$657$14,274$54,311$25,513,729$0
2024$663,086$2,282,312$67,927$25,513,729$125,785
2022$51,080,109$49,392,955$1,687,154$27,078,783$20,719,873

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$0$3,5941
2022$14,970,753$90,489,168746

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESoppose$3,594Estimated Cost for Staff Time and Travel Expenses
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$1,125Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$16,250Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$1,875Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$13,750Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$10,000Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$750Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$1,000Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$41,250Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$2,750Mileage (Estimate)
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$18,100Ad Production
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$125Video & Audio Editing
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Video Production
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”SUNRISE PACoppose$2,801Estimated Cost for Staff Time
β€”SUNRISE PACoppose$2,801Estimated Cost for Staff Time

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION24A$2,500
β€”MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION24A$5,000
β€”MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION24A$100,050
β€”LF PAC24A$57,288
β€”LF PAC24A$500
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$10,763
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,972
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,918
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC24E$5,500
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC24E$350
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$2,248
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$15,625
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$42,926
β€”SUNRISE PAC24A$16
β€”SUNRISE PAC24A$21
β€”SUNRISE PAC24A$64
β€”SUNRISE PAC24A$22
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,350
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$3,593
β€”SMP24A$1,905
β€”FF PAC24A$720
β€”FF PAC24A$150
β€”FF PAC24A$12,521
β€”INDIVISIBLE ACTION24A$2,091
β€”HUNTER ACTION FUND (HAF)24E$1,880

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”LF PACcontributed_to$500pas2
β€”LF PACcontributed_to$57,288pas2
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$823pas2
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$182pas2
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$1,500pas2
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACcontributed_to$5,500pas2
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACcontributed_to$350pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,918pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,972pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$2,248pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$15,625pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$42,926pas2
β€”MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTIONcontributed_to$2,500pas2
β€”MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTIONcontributed_to$100,050pas2
β€”MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTIONcontributed_to$5,000pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$10,763pas2
β€”INDIVISIBLE ACTIONcontributed_to$2,091pas2
β€”END CITIZENS UNITEDcontributed_to$29,289pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$25,000pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,350pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$3,593pas2
β€”SMPcontributed_to$1,905pas2
β€”HUNTER ACTION FUND (HAF)contributed_to$1,880pas2
β€”BIG BLUE WAVEcontributed_to$4,500pas2
β€”BIG BLUE WAVEcontributed_to$40,000pas2
β€”GIFFORDS PACcontributed_to$18,308pas2
β€”FF PACcontributed_to$12,521pas2
β€”FF PACcontributed_to$150pas2
β€”SUNRISE PACcontributed_to$64pas2
β€”SUNRISE PACcontributed_to$21pas2
β€”SUNRISE PACcontributed_to$22pas2
β€”FF PACcontributed_to$720pas2
β€”SUNRISE PACcontributed_to$16pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$3,594fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$41,250fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$750fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$1,000fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$13,750fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$1,875fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$1,125fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$10,000fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$2,750fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$16,250fec_ies
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTopposes_independently$18,100fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$125fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”SUNRISE PACopposes_independently$2,801fec_ies
β€”SUNRISE PACopposes_independently$2,801fec_ies
β€”SUNRISE PACopposes_independently$2,801fec_ies
β€”BIG BLUE WAVEopposes_independently$40,000fec_ies
β€”BIG BLUE WAVEopposes_independently$4,500fec_ies
β€”BIG BLUE WAVEopposes_independently$10,000fec_ies
β€”STOP HIM NOWopposes_independently$2,500fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$4,600,968fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$4,520fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$29,683fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$43,818fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$926,974fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$235,311fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$3,333,372fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$247,270fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,621,337fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,000,000fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,252,380fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$6,333,476fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$27,156fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,905fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$200,000fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$486,187fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$62,353fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$5,600fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$6,881,348fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$206,760fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$41,174fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$5,080,216fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,541,515fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$31,546fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$235,544fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$31,607fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$28,601fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$2,254,797fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,531,253fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$23,563fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,487,388fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$625,156fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$29,448fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$33,690fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$558,780fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$3,545fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$235,311fec_ies

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofOZ FOR PA SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofDOCTOR OZ FOR SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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