RAMIREZ, RUBEN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2TX15138
Internal id: e4e8f40d-4bed-43fd-acdd-8a449e2ee081
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-15. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	790,465
People	Median age	33
Income	Median household income	$59,751
Income	Per-capita income	$27,084
Income	In poverty	23.7%
Income	Unemployed	6.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.480
Race	White alone	33.9%
Race	Black alone	1.5%
Race	Asian alone	1.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	81.4%
Race	Two or more races	52.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	22.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	32.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	66.2%
Education	High school or higher	50.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	22.7%
Education	Advanced degree	7.3%
Household	Family households	75.3%
Household	Avg household size	3.06
Household	Never married (15+)	35.6%
Housing	Median home value	$169,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$992
Housing	Single-family detached	65.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	8.9%
Housing	Vacant units	12.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.6%
Health	With a disability	13.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	87.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	10.1%
Commute	Drove alone	74.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.2%
Commute	Worked from home	10.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$493,222	$493,222	$0	$12,250	$390,401

Elections

2022 general house · TX-15 — lost_general

Committees

RUBEN RAMIREZ FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$492,043	$0	5

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	support	$64,751	Digital Advertising Buy
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	support	$10,000	Digital Advertising Production
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	support	$285,000	T.V. Advertising Buy
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	support	$15,000	T.V. Advertising Production
2022-05-02	DMFI PAC	support	$117,292	Direct Mail Advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-22	WIN THE HOUSE NOW PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-06-03	BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2022-05-31	WITH HONOR PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-05-26	SERVE AMERICA PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-05-06	314 ACTION FUND	24K	$5,000
2022-05-05	VICENTE GONZALEZ FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-05-05	BARRAGAN FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,500
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	24E	$64,751
2022-05-04	WITH HONOR PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	24E	$10,000
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	24E	$285,000
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	24E	$15,000
2022-05-02	DMFI PAC	24E	$117,291
2022-05-02	PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-04-21	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-03-29	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, …	24K	$5,000
2022-03-24	DMFI PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-03-21	UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNIT…	24K	$5,000
2022-03-21	VOTEVETS	24K	$5,000
2022-02-24	VICENTE GONZALEZ FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-02-23	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$1,000
2022-02-16	314 ACTION FUND	24K	$5,000
2022-02-13	FIGHTING FOR SOUTH TEXAS PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-01-31	VOTEVETS	24K	$2,500
2022-01-20	VOTEVETS	24K	$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (61)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2022-06-22	WIN THE HOUSE NOW PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-06-22	WIN THE HOUSE NOW PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-06-03	BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-06-03	BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-31	WITH HONOR PAC	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-05-31	WITH HONOR PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-26	SERVE AMERICA PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-26	SERVE AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-05-06	314 ACTION FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-06	314 ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-05-05	BARRAGAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,500		pas2
2022-05-05	VICENTE GONZALEZ FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-05	VICENTE GONZALEZ FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-05-05	BARRAGAN FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-04	WITH HONOR PAC	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$10,000		fec_ies
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$64,751		fec_ies
2022-05-04	WITH HONOR PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$10,000		pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$64,751		pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$64,751	24E	fec_pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$10,000	24E	fec_pas2
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$285,000	24E	fec_pas2
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$15,000	24E	fec_pas2
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$285,000		pas2
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$15,000		pas2
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$285,000		fec_ies
2022-05-03	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$15,000		fec_ies
2022-05-02	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$117,292		fec_ies
2022-05-02	DMFI PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$117,291	24E	fec_pas2
2022-05-02	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$117,291		pas2
2022-05-02	PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-02	PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-04-21	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-04-21	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-29	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-03-29	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-24	DMFI PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-24	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-03-21	UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA)	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-03-21	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-03-21	VOTEVETS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-21	UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-02-24	VICENTE GONZALEZ FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-02-24	VICENTE GONZALEZ FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-02-23	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-02-23	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-02-16	314 ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-02-16	314 ACTION FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-02-13	FIGHTING FOR SOUTH TEXAS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-02-13	FIGHTING FOR SOUTH TEXAS PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-01-31	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-01-31	VOTEVETS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-01-20	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-01-20	VOTEVETS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-01-19	LATINO LEADERS FOR EQUALITY, GROWTH, OPPORTUNITY, PROGRESSIVE ACTION & CHANGE (LLEGO-PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-01-19	LATINO LEADERS FOR EQUALITY, GROWTH, OPPORTUNITY, PROGRESSIVE ACTION & CHANGE (LLEGO-PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2021-12-27	DEMOCRATS SERVE	contributed_to	$259		pas2
2021-12-27	DEMOCRATS SERVE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$259	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-26	FIGHTING FOR SOUTH TEXAS PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-26	FIGHTING FOR SOUTH TEXAS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	RUBEN RAMIREZ FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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